When a hitter hits a short ground ball to second base, should a runner on third stay at the base or run home?

  • 1
    What's the game situation? (score, innings, anyone else on base, outs, count) – Philip Kendall Jul 12 '18 at 18:58
  • loosing 8:6, 4th inning, only runner on third, no outs – kkagill Jul 12 '18 at 19:02
  • Personally early in the game and no outs I'd hold the runner. You have two more shots to get him in with a hit, and one more try to get him in with a sac fly. If the score were turned the other way and I was up I'd be tempted to safety squeeze. But I have no stats to back any of this up, so this stays a comment and not an answer. :-) – James Cronen Jul 12 '18 at 19:13
  • Thanks James. Sounds like holding it makes more sense. – kkagill Jul 12 '18 at 19:19
  • "loosing 8:6, 4th inning, only runner on third, no outs" => stay on third unless you are 100% sure of scoring or unless weak batters are coming up (batters with many strikeouts for example) – Max Jul 12 '18 at 20:41

With two outs: YES in almost all situations.

With less than two outs:

  • Last inning / trailing by two or more: NO. You need two points, don't take any risk
  • Last inning / one out / on-deck batter is weak / trailing by one, tied game or winning by a few runs: YES. You must evaluate your chance of being safe at home vs a weak batter hitting a hit against a closer.
  • Other cases: it depends. Take these factors into account: the score, number of outs, on-deck batter, pitcher, speed of runners, fielding ability / defense positioning.

I always tell my teammates to think of their play in advance (as a runner or as a fielder).

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