1

I'm trying to understand whole number goals in Over Under betting.

They are described as follows:

https://betdaqhelp.custhelp.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/157/~/what-are-under%2Fover-markets

I am happy that I am calculating the bets with fractional goals numbers correctly. I calculate the probabilities of each score. Then for 2.5 goals I sum up all goal combinations that are <= 2 goals, this is the under, similarly all goal combinations more than >= 3 is the over.

What I'm unsure about is the case where the number of goals has an integer value say 2. In this case if the total number of goals is 2 then the stake is returned. So as before the over is all goal combinations that are 3 or more, but this time the under is all goal combinations that strictly are less than 2. I'm pretty sure this part is correct (but do correct me if I'm wrong). What I want to check is that I should re normalise these probabilities i.e. over/(over+under) and under/(over+under). This is necessary because the outcome total goals=2 is no longer possible.

Thanks

Baz

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service, privacy policy and cookie policy

Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.