Questions tagged [statistics]

The collection of statistics in sports and how they are used. Please also tag questions with the sport or sports being referred to.

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1answer
39 views

What constitutes a "game-winning drive" statistically?

After the Buccaneers @ Patriots game - in which the Buccaneers won - it was revealed by statisticians that it was Tom Brady's 50th career "game-winning drive". What constitutes a "game-...
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1answer
34 views

What's the precise definition of the individual "left on base" statistic?

MLB.com's box scores include a "LOB" column in the individual batting records, showing number of runners left on base. I am curious how exactly this statistic is defined. MLB's Glossary ...
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1answer
34 views

Does a penalty count against a shutout in football?

In soccer, if a goalkeeper does not save a penalty that happened during the game (as opposed to during a penalty shootout) do they still get a shutout? I was just curious because I know that in a ...
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1answer
44 views

Ice-hockey penalty shot saves

In ice-hockey when there is a penalty shot and player missed the net so goalkeeper didn't need to make a save, is it still counted as a save for the goalkeeper for his penalty shot save percentage? ...
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1answer
63 views

Best accuracy of ice-hockey prediction achieved

What is the best accuracy of predicting ice-hockey game winner ever achieved? I have found many sites where some mathematical models can predict winner of NHL game with accuracy from 55% to 60%. Is ...
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0answers
36 views

Is an NFL player who forces a fumble that goes out of the end zone not credited with the safety?

I can imagine four situations where the title applies. The ballcarrier is out of the end zone and fumbles when he is tackled. This would not be a safety except for the fumble. The ballcarrier is in ...
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1answer
79 views

NHL forfeit shutouts

In the NHL, if a game is forfeited the loser gets score 0 and the winner gets 1 or higher if the game was forfeited after it started already and the winner scored more than 1 goal. All personal stats ...
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1answer
43 views

How are statistics recorded in IIHF or NHL when two events happen at the same stoppage of play?

How are stats recorded in IIHF or NHL when two events happen at the same stoppage of play? For example, team A receives 2-minute penalty at time 12:05. The game is stopped and after the face-off team ...
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1answer
27 views

Which soccer players have been selected best player of the Copa América more than once?

I know that Lionel Messi and Enzo Francescoli have been chosen the best player of the Copa América twice. It happened in 2021, 2015, 1995 and 1983 respectively. Are there other soccer players who have ...
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1answer
69 views

Which NBA player has the most career shots?

Which NBA basketball player has attempted the most shots in their career, and how many of them did they make?
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19 views

When analyzing Betfair odds data, what is the consequence of having virtual odds included?

(I hope I understand virtual odds. I do understand back/lay concept) Context For the sake of simplicity, take a tennis event. We have two runners A, B and for both we have back and lay offers, so we ...
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89 views

Is there a correlation between goalkeeper height and penalty save rate?

A tall goalkeeper can be quite intimidating for a penalty taker. Is there any research or statistics that actually shows that there is a correlation between goalkeeper height and penalty save rate?
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1answer
69 views

Is calling timeout actually effective in stopping scoring runs by the other team?

In basketball, when one team goes on a scoring run, you will often see the other team call a timeout to try to stop that team's momentum. Has there been any analysis that shows whether calling timeout ...
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54 views

Base Out State Probabilities by Batting Order Position

I am looking for the number of PA's (Plate Appearances) that occurred in each of the 24 possible base-out states split by batting order position. I am interested especially in the years 2010-2015 in ...
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44 views

Do longer playoff series (in first to x formats) lead to worse outcomes in subsequent rounds?

In the NHL, it's generally accepted wisdom that if two teams face each other in a playoff round, and one team has played fewer games in the playoffs due to having fewer losses in previous rounds, they'...
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1answer
74 views

Which soccer/association football statistic gives the most comprehensive assessment of a player in his or her position?

There are defenders, midfielders, forwards and goalkeepers. If I want to compare non-keeper player to player, which statistic is the best? In reply to answers below, if the synergy is important, is ...
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1answer
329 views

How is mlb.com's ">.500" record calculated?

On Major League Baseball's Standings page, one of the fields is headed >.500: "Record against >.500 teams". Is this the record in games against teams whose record was above .500 when ...
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1answer
82 views

What is the win probabiity of an ice hockey team being down 1-0 at the end of the second period?

I heard following hypothesis about ice-hockey statistics; -20 min left (i.e. whole third period) -situation is 0-1 I was told the team that is trailing, has bigger probability to win the game. Has ...
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2answers
116 views

How to determine winning team from the MLB retrosheet "event" file?

As far as I can tell, there isn't a field in the event file (https://www.retrosheet.org/eventfile.htm) that states the winning team. By my understanding it could either be found from the game file (...
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1answer
501 views

Do NBA players make a higher percentage of 3-pointers from the side?

This shows what an NBA basketball court looks like: As you can see, the 3-point line is an arc until it gets close to the sides of the court, where it becomes a straight line due to not being able to ...
2
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1answer
167 views

True Shooting Percentage (TSP) vs Points Per Shot (PPS)

I have always been puzzled by the True Shooting Percentage (TSP) metric. Its goal is evidently to give a general idea of how efficient a scorer is, but the way it's calculated is extremely puzzling. ...
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2answers
68 views

Why combine stats, especially the 40-yard dash, relevant and referred to years after the draft?

Many commentators refer to a player's 40-yard dash time to make a point of how fast a player is. This is admittedly relevant by the time of the draft but not so much afterwards, one would think. Many ...
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2answers
54 views

Looking for the name of an on-base stat that I am sure exists

I'm looking for a stat for how often a hitter gets on base via walk, hit, hit by ball. Anything excluding homeruns. As in the percentage of time people actually stand on a base.
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21 views

Is there a statistical measure to compare objectivity across different sports?

Has there been any statistical metric devised to allow comparison on the 'objectivity' across sports? As an example, if a sport like chess has the vast majority of player actions, as well as the ...
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0answers
30 views

How many times has a team put in to field scored a century on day 1?

In the current game between South-Africa and Sri Lanka, Sri Lanka was bowled out for 157 in 40 odd overs. Dean Elgar ended the day on 90 odd. This made me wonder how many times in test cricket have a ...
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1answer
105 views

Ice-hockey 6v5 situation

I am curious how are situations with extra player in ice-hockey handled statistically. For example, team A is loosing 2:3 and there is one last minute of the match. They switch goalie for an extra ...
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1answer
76 views

Ice-hockey forfeit goals

I want to ask, in ice-hockey general or in NHL, if a game is forfeited before it starts or at score 0:0, the winning team automatically wins by 1:0. Is this one goal counted in teams statistics in ...
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1answer
67 views

Who is awarded the sack when a player is not actually tackled?

On December 6, 2020 at 4:30pm, the Green Bay Packers played a most riveting contest with the Philadelphia Eagles. On one play where Green Bay was in possession, Aaron Rodgers (the Green Bay QB) was ...
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2answers
677 views

Why is it a considered a passing touchdown in cases when the receiver gains most of the yards?

I don't understand why it is considered a passing touchdown that accrues to the QB's stats, in cases when the receiver gains most of the yards. Consider a 5 yard pass where the receiver then runs 90 ...
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1answer
105 views

Why does there seem to be more pitching changes in recent years?

The last time I watched baseball was in 2012, and there has been more frequent pitching changes, especially in the post-season. For instance, this NY Post article states: In 2018, teams set a new ...
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2answers
308 views

What makes a Safety shot in snooker "successful"?

When watching a match of snooker, especially one where safety battles take place, the broadcaster will often display a "Safety Success" statistic for both players above the current score, or ...
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2answers
101 views

What is usually better in basketball, a 2-pointer and-1 opportunity or a made 3-pointer?

2-pointer and-one obviously gets a foul on an opposing player but you are not guaranteed to make the free throw, while a 3-pointer is guaranteed 3 points. Which would be more advantageous to a team, ...
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1answer
6k views

How does the runner placed at second base in extra innings affect Earned Run Average?

Normally the pitcher who allows a runner to reach base is charged with the run if the runner eventually reaches home, even if the pitcher is replaced before the runner scores. If the run is an earned ...
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1answer
70 views

Game losing goal

In the NHL, or generally in ice hockey and similar sports, there is a statistic of GWG - game winning goals. A goal is a GWG if it is enough for a team to score only until this goal with no more goals ...
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1answer
255 views

Non-USA superstars in the NBA seem to be much taller on average than superstars from the USA: What exactly is the reason?

LeBron James suggested that he would like to participate in a USA vs non-USA all-star match, during the 2020 all-star draft. While forming hypothetical teams for such a match I quickly started finding ...
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1answer
4k views

Why do some bookmakers have minimum odds requirements on free bet promotions?

I have noticed that some bookmakers will offer free bets but have a condition that in order for the winnings to be withdrawn they must be placed on bets with at least 1/5 odds for example. If I have a ...
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1answer
199 views

Can you determine the position of a player from his statistics?

I recently got really interested in the NBA (thanks to Mark Cuban). Google led me to detailed statistics of NBA players, for example, as found here. If you just look at the statistics (without ...
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1answer
42 views

Basketball: will FG percentage revert to mean and continue trend at half time?

This is a stats questions. Imagine team A has a poor FG percentage at half time and team B has a good one, would you expect those rates to convert (mean reversion) or deviate further? Maybe there is ...
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1answer
159 views

Basketball shooting practice appears to have little effect over time

While this question relates to basketball, it is more so a question of statistics and probability. I wondered if one could determine a basketball players career high shooting percentage from high ...
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1answer
82 views

How do you deal with skewed frequency in Hexagonal Shot Plots for NBA Players

So I've stumbled upon Kirk Goldsberry's shot plots and I find them very intriguing. Here's an example . I find these charts fascinating, so I decided to learn how to make these charts myself, except I ...
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3answers
129 views

NFL: going for it on fourth and 1

I'm a soccer fan and rarely watch NFL. But one thing that bemuses me is the conservatism in the game. Why do teams not go for it more often on 4th and 1? The stats show it's a good play. The reward ...
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1answer
1k views

Difference between turnover and steals

In the NBA app, I was reading the statistics of the match Lakers vs Kings. In particular, Lakers have 10 steals, Kings have 5 steals. Moreover, Lakers have 14 turnovers, while Kings have 16 turnovers....
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1answer
51 views

When was the last time a kicker was released after making two 60+ yard field goals during the season?

In 2019, Brett Maher made a 62 and 63 yard field goals during the season. However, he was released on 9 Dec 2019. When was the last time a kicker was released after making two (or more) 60+ yard ...
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1answer
170 views

Why did penalty kick success rates suddenly drop from 2004 to 2005?

As featured in this answer, the penalty kick success rate in the Premier League was 92.3% in 2004, and consistently around 95% in the preceding seasons, but in 2005 it dropped to 77% and has stayed at ...
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3answers
2k views

Basketball - Blocking and Catching Shots

Let's assume an offensive player takes a shot on the basket. If a defensive player catches the shot in the air without goal tending, is that considered a block, a steal, or both in the statistics?
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2answers
442 views

When calculating red zone efficiency, does a team need to have a first down in the red zone?

An NFL team's red zone efficiency/percentage is calculated by taking the number of touchdowns scored in the red zone and dividing it by the number of trips to the red zone. (A team is in the red zone ...
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1answer
58 views

Why was the precalculated probability of winning high for Raptors in year 2019?

Why was the precalculated probability of winning high for Raptors in the year 2019? Because Kawhi Leonard came at the end. So just wondering. I saw a 4 digit number during the 2019 summer on Toronto ...
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1answer
163 views

Proportion of straight red cards in European football

What are the statistics on the proportion of straight red cards that are shown in European leagues? That is, red cards that are shown immediately, rather than after two yellow cards.
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2answers
157 views

Which of these situations is a new shift?

In the NHL, when tracking the relevant statistics (ice time, number of shifts, time per shift, etc) for player a on team A, while team A is playing team B, does a shift officially end in the following ...
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1answer
94 views

What are the most serve attempts for a single tennis point?

In Tennis, you usually have 2 attempts for a service. however under certain circumstances there are more serves made fot one single point, for example when the ball touches the net and then enters ...

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